Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 6.629262 7.567389 8.602312 9.830600 11.251091 12.845127 14.773540
2025-06-29 5.293115 6.491341 7.919047 9.752509 12.054570 14.862258 18.565910
2025-07-06 4.464262 5.764622 7.402752 9.631256 12.604528 16.463520 21.898068
2025-07-13 4.040681 5.444560 7.296628 9.940537 13.653291 18.733569 26.301190
2025-07-20 3.687860 5.153527 7.165284 10.159397 14.555641 20.856696 30.720947
2025-07-27 3.451755 4.984289 7.164423 10.534326 15.688121 23.396860 36.033642
2025-08-03 3.091126 4.590573 6.790159 10.303119 15.869190 24.510581 39.261814
2025-08-10 2.810436 4.282985 6.505234 10.163708 16.154773 25.786525 42.868769
2025-08-17 2.573197 4.016263 6.251996 10.038123 16.432565 27.055896 46.590005
2025-08-24 2.361297 3.768034 6.001316 9.884269 16.634614 28.201107 50.209455
2025-08-31 2.168505 3.532388 5.747448 9.694877 16.746322 29.186247 53.637264
2025-09-07 2.104502 3.502931 5.829007 10.083503 17.905295 32.138860 61.103049
2025-09-14 1.991232 3.382278 5.748688 10.184661 18.565792 34.274674 67.321645
2025-09-21 1.861269 3.221540 5.584463 10.116644 18.901272 35.830440 72.581469
2025-09-28 1.735718 3.057853 5.400210 9.991449 19.109138 37.151719 77.516405
2025-10-05 1.685430 3.025535 5.449974 10.313368 20.225820 40.407719 87.050795
2025-10-12 1.625830 2.970700 5.452396 10.541146 21.172731 43.416060 96.454646
2025-10-19 1.590614 2.958477 5.533337 10.931381 22.495272 47.367977 108.599732
2025-10-26 1.482852 2.798523 5.315937 10.690731 22.445699 48.316400 113.721642
2025-11-02 1.394921 2.670758 5.151759 10.545634 22.588053 49.706066 120.118543
2025-11-09 1.315586 2.554228 5.000979 10.414932 22.747691 51.149657 126.855028
2025-11-16 1.239411 2.438611 4.843276 10.254817 22.822943 52.400708 133.269468
2025-11-23 1.165430 2.322322 4.675588 10.057730 22.791584 53.389972 139.126756